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Important ones that need to be stated

Note Section 1.2 Reading time: ~5 mins

Key Actuarial Justifications

These are standard justifications and assumptions that should be explicitly stated on the exam when selecting parameters.

  • LDF Selections (Changing Trends):

    “There is an apparent downward trend in the loss development factors. I have selected a 2-year average to remain responsive to the recent trend without being overly reactive to single-year anomalies.”

  • Underwriting Expenses (Fixed Expenses):

    “I assume that premium trends at the same rate as fixed expenses, meaning the fixed expense ratio remains constant and does not require explicit trending.”

    • Alternative: “For simplicity and without a significant loss of accuracy, I have trended all fixed expenses using the average written date.”

Loss Development

  • Disposal Rates (Changing Settlement Speed):

    “Disposal rates have been trending downward, indicating a slowdown in closing claims. I have selected the latest 3-year average to be more responsive to this shift while remaining conservative in case the trend stabilizes.”